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PROJECT F U T U R E I S R A E L |
ABOUT the
LEGITIMACY ANALOGY of ORIGINATING of NATURAL DISASTERS and WARS.
ABOUT the POLICY of PREVENTING THEM.
The foreword.
The below stated monograph is not political opinion of the author, but the total
of the impartial personal investigation of the current processes in the
surrounding World. With "jerk" for the investigation were the tragic events in
New York of September 11, 2001. In the monograph the Basic Law of the
surrounding World concluded. Combined usage of the Basic Law and the methods of
reason-consequential link will allow to analyze any problems of the modern
mankind and to work out concerning ideal solutions. But, if the ideal solutions
do not content the struggling opposing sides of mankind, they can be based for
the compromise agreements and solutions. Unfortunately, the deflections from
this method of application will lead to doom of the civilization. The writing of
the monograph is finished in June, 2003. All subsequent time up to today the
author was keeping an eye on the events and the processes, being in his view,
adding his monograph with the most important events and collating their
progressing with positions of the Basic Law. The revise affirmed the rightness
of the waiting.
Author.
1. The Basic Law of the surrounding World (of the environment).
Natural cataclysms and terror have overcome the mankind in the start of present
century. The rea-sons of natural disasters we can explain from the scientific
point of view. The problems of the terror-ism are considered as a matter of the
political figures. But the political figures, as it is known, are subjected to
the influence a conjuncture. Therefore, the probability of acceptance of a right
decision is rather insignificant. Now the terrorism is a method of the strife of
weakly armed groups of the population against others groups having powerful
arms. Each of the opposing groups has its truth, its inclinings. Accounting the
huge potential of destructive force of the population, any war can lead to
catastrophe. Therefore, diverse approach is required for a neutralizing of the
terrorism. During many centuries the huge information about the phenomena,
events, facts of habitabilities of mankind, about relationship between the
mankind and the surrounding World (the environment) has been ac-cumulated. It is
also known that in the course of time the phenomena, the events and the facts
have been repeating periodically. Their level of the qualitative state has been
changing only. Apparently the mankind's habitability, as well as other processes
in the surrounding World, passes under the definite laws. Probably the ignoring
of these laws led to the wars and natural cataclysms. Systematizing the
accumulated knowledge, comparing and analyzing the events, the facts, the
phenomena, we will formulate the Basic Law of the surrounding World, which one
has been explained below and consists of 4 axioms.
The Basic Law of the surrounding World.
The axiom 1. Each of us as well as all rest of the mankind (individuals), the
fauna, the vegetation, our planet, other planets, and so on (objects) are the
constituents of the surrounding World, (an environment).
The axiom 2. The surrounding World is the uniform global field of an
energetics. All processes in the field are interdependent. They proceed in
conditions of the relative equal balance.
The axiom 3. Any destabilizing affecting of the objects and the individuals
onto the environment evokes a return reaction of the environment. The
environment, suppressing the destabilizing affecting and/or its consequences,
passes to the qualitatively new state of the relative equal balance.
The axiom 4. The power and the plotting scale of the return reaction of the
surrounding World about the destabilizing affecting of the objects and the
individuals have not a limit, as the World is endless. Therefore, the forces of
the reaction of the environment always will be more than the force of any
destabilizing affecting.
Using these axioms in consideration of different problems of the modern mankind,
the author came to the unexpected conclusions. It turned out that the truisms of
the axioms are not always coinciding with the policy of the activity of the
mankind, both in relationships between oneself, and in relation-ships with the
environment. There may be, is it the reason of a lot of troubles endured by the
man-kind? If formerly the troubles were passing without consequences, in the
time of modern saturation with the power engineering by the mankind can take
place the catastrophe of the civilization, if we do not take into account the
given axioms. All positions of the Basic Law are long ago known and are obvious.
They are dispersed in different branches of a science (physics, astronomy,
biology, philosophy etc.). The author has only attempted clearly and laconically
to concentrate them in the 4 axioms. In the concentrated aspect, the Basic Law
considerably will facilitate analysis and definition of link between a reason
and consequence of any biotic situation, any phenomena in the surrounding World.
The value and virtue of the Basic Law consists in following:
Usage of the axioms of the Basic Law considerably will facilitate definition
and analysis of the relationship of cause and consequence of any biotic
situation of the individuals, any phenomena and facts in the surrounding World;
It will promote working out concerning an ideal candidate solution of any
problem of the individuals;
It will help to forecast the negative events of the environment in reply onto
the disturbing affecting.
But relatively ideal version does not always content the opposing sides of the
individuals. Therefore the opposing sides should work out the compromise
agreements. The consequences of the compromise agreements should not go into a
conflict with the Basic Law. The forecasted negative phenomena of the
environment in time can be smoothed by processes of the compensation, the
occluding and the neutralization.
For obviousness of these assertions we will consider and analyze three cases of
the destabilizing actions onto the environment:
The case 1. The destabilizing action of the objects onto the environment. The
environment is the system of objects.
The case 2. The destabilizing action of the individuals onto the environment.
The environment is the system of objects.
The case 3. The destabilizing action of the individuals onto the environment.
The environment is the system of individuals.
2. Case 1. The destabilizing action of the objects onto the environment.
The environment is the system of objects.
The sources of underground jerks (the earthquakes), of a volcanic activity, of
the solar activities, asteroids, meteorites, comets clashing with the Earth and
others are the objects exerting the destabilizing actions onto the environment.
On account of the destabilizing actions of the enumerated objects onto the
environment can take place the change of a relief of the terrain (the formation
of gullies, girders, orogenesis, the change of river-beds and other). With the
environment's reaction will be: the climate's variation (an air's temperature
variation, a copious fall out or a drought, strong winds, storms, tempests,
whirlwinds, fires), the change of flora and fauna. In the course of time, under
affecting of reacting of the environment, the environment accepts approximately
the previous state: the hills, the gullies, the mountains become somewhat washed
out, the rivers grow shallow and so on, that is, the environment comes to
qualitatively new equilibrium state on the given
terrain. The reaction of the environment step-by-step is getting weaker (axiom
3). We reviewed the case, in which one the influencing of the man onto the
environment misses.
3. Case 2. The destabilizing action of the individuals onto the environment.
The environment is the system of objects.
The individual exerting the destabilizing action onto the environment is the
Mankind. Formatting an existence for himself, the Mankind inflects the surface
of the Earth (of the object) (builds and widens intensively the cities, destroys
the forest massifs, constructs the irrigation canals, the man-made seas, dykes,
weirs, drains the swamps and other), throws off huge mass of waste, dust and gas
into the atmosphere, concentrates the vast energetics objects, that is,
introduces into the environment a powerful unbalance. In this case, as well as
in case of 1, reacting of the environment is inevitable and un-predictable. The
reacting of the environment is a natural disaster for the Mankind.
4. The comparative analysis of the consequences of the destabilizing's
affecting, explained in case of 1 and 2.
Unlike the objects (in the case 1) the individuals (in the case 2) after the
natural disaster (after reaction of the environment), they not only restore the
broken down houses, the roads, the dams, the bridges, the dikes and other
defensive buildings, but they also intensify their resisting against the
element. That is, unlike the case 1, where the destabilizing action was
one-time, in the case 2 the destabilizing actions of the individual (of the
Mankind) onto the environment are retried in an improved aspect. Accordingly the
destruction force, the scale, the recurrence rate of the reaction of the
environment (the natural disasters) will be step-by-step increase pursuant to
the axiom 4. That we are observing per the last ten years. Ever more and more
territories of Northern America, Europe, Asia, of Australia are encompassed by
natural disasters: powerful gale-force winds, tsunami, excessive precipitations,
flooding, drought, wood fires and other. Moreover, the similar natural anomalies
until recently were appearing once-twice per hundred-two hundred years, once per
decade. In some cardinal points the natural anomalies have been appearing
already annually and even twice per year per the last decade. As a matter of
fact the problem of survival will rise to the Mankind shortly. The whole
countries can be erased from the face of the Earth. It is necessary urgently to
work out the new conception of interrelations of the Mankind with the
environment. The conception should include the well founded scientific
recommendations.
The contents of some of the numerous recommendations, the following:
Constructing for themselves, the Mankind should foresee premises to the
destabilizing action onto the environment. At a originating of the premises, it
is necessary to stop the construction or to pro-vide processes of compensation,
occluding or neutralizing of the destabilizing factors.
After the counteraction of the environment (the natural disaster) it is
unreasonable(!!!) to deoxidate a broken down infrastructure, defensive
buildings and sources of a destabilizing action. If the locale is becoming
unsuitable for dwelling of the people, it is necessary to reduce an amount of
livings, to remove the people to other locales.
Countries, which the natural disaster has not touched, should be ready to
acceptance of the refugees from countries, staggered with the natural element.
The international community should render the material help, both to the
refugees, and to the countries receiving the refugees.
Scientific thought of the Mankind should route a maximal effort to an
elaboration of the methods of discovery of zones of the forming of the reacting
of the environment (the zones of the forming of waterspouts, hurricanes, tsunami
and other) and ways of neutralization, occluding, compensation and attenuation
of the reacting of the environment.
5. Case 3. The destabilizing action of the individuals onto the environment.
The environment is the system of individuals.
The individuals affecting onto the environment are the followings:
the separate man or the group of people,
the separate country or the group of countries.
The environment is the following:
the group of people (in relation to the separate man),
the population of the separate country (in relation to the separate group of
people),
the population of the Earth (in relation to the separate country or the group
of countries).
The basic destabilizing actions of the separate individuals onto the rest of
individuals of the environment are the followings:
an impairment of a normal habitability of the individuals,
destruction of the individuals.
The prerequisites of the destabilizing action of the separate individuals onto
the environment are the followings:
the essential gap between levels of the incomes of the rich and poor people in
a separate country,
the essential gap of levels of civilizations of the population of separate
country or groups of countries in relation to the rest of population of the
Earth,
an occupation by the separate individuals (by the separate countries) of
territories of other individuals (of other countries),
mass deportation of the individuals (the groups of the population),
mass migration of the individuals (the group of the population),
high density of the individuals (of the population).
Let us examine the above-stated premises more in detail.
6. The essential gap between levels of the incomes of the rich and poor people
in separate country.
As soon as the gap of the incomes between strata of the population reaches
critical point (the threat of habitability of the individuals will appear), the
destabilizing action onto the environment will arise. The destabilizing actions
will evoke the environment's reaction pursuant to the axiom 3. The reaction can
be exhibited through "democratic" shocks, revolts, civil wars. At the end, the
State and financial organs will be smashed and plundered, the industry and trade
will be ruined; an army and a police will be demoralized. The leadership of the
country by means of retaliatory bodies will try to maintain and even to
strengthen own position in such circumstances. Pursuant to the axiom 4 (the
forces of the reaction of the environment always will be more than any
destabilizing action), the repetitive reacting of the environment will be more
destructive. The new State will be formed step-by-step on ruins of the former
State (the axiom 3). It is necessary to account that any punitive acts spawn the
additional destabilizing factors: the sharp impairment of habitability, the
murder and the deportation of the individuals. It will lead to magnification of
the summary vector of the destabilizing action and, accordingly, to
magnification of destruction force of the environment's reaction. At originating
the premise of the destabilizing action - the essential gap between the
standards of living of rich and poor strata of the population, it is necessary
to use a method of compensation at the expense of the part of the population
with the high incomes and of optimization of the internal consumer market.
7. The essential gap of levels of civilizations of the population of separate
country or groups of countries in relation to the rest of population of the
Earth.
a) The decline of the United States of America.
Making the chronological review of events in the history of the mankind, we will
detect that in the course of definite time the ancient civilizations were
arising and were disappearing. At first they were reaching a heyday, then under
pressure of surrounding tribes and own slaves their fall was coming. At one time
the powerful empires (the Ancient Egypt, the Babylon, the Roman Empire, the
Byzantine Empire and others) were disintegrating. The past century was not an
exception British, French, Spanish and other colonial systems have disintegrated
with following equalizing of the levels of progressing of the former parent
States and the colonies.
What is the modern world? From the middle of 40th and till the 90th years of the
past century the world was as a matter of fact parted in two camps (in two
systems). The systems differed one from other with the economical structure and
the level of economical progressing. But they had powerful facilities of a
demolition each other. The USA and the former USSR were at the head of the
camps. The intellectual elites of these states did not admit the armed
confrontation. The local wars were sometimes conducted. But they were dosed
strictly in usage of arms and they were bounded territorially. They also were
having finished according to the principle of 50/50. So two states of Germany,
two states of Korea, two states of Vietnam appeared. Each of the systems was
monitoring its camp strictly. The relative equal balance was maintained in the
world.
The unbalanced process began after the USSR has disintegrated. The population of
many countries of the third world was deprived the support of the USSR. At the
same time, on the background of the mass poverty of the population of the Asia,
the Africa and the Latin America, the economics of the western leading countries
was hoisted hill up. The economics of the USA reached the phenomenal level. It
was formed the huge difference potential between the level of development of the
USA and of the rest of world. That is, it was formed the powerful destabilizing
factor. Pursuant to the axiom 3, it has appeared a hazard of display of reaction
of the surrounding world. Legal and not lawful penetrating (diffusion) of the
foreign citizens into the developed countries from less developed and poor
countries is one of signs of the display of such reacting. A considerable share
of these people occupying the work stations intended for the natives, almost all
own incomes are sending abroad, thus, inflicting damage to the internal consumer
market of a stay country. In the course of time, whole Diasporas of new nations
were created in these countries, which under certain conditions can become a
destruction force for the country of stay (we will recollect analogy - revolt of
the foreign slaves, for example, in the Ancient Greece or the example of
November (2005) clutters in the France and in some other European countries). It
is impossible to exclude, also, that the event in New York of September 11, 2001
is the fact of a prolongation and reaction of the surrounding world on account
of the destabilizing action (the essential difference of levels of the
civilizations). In addition to everything, some staffs of the State annually
suffer from powerful natural disasters. The financial expenditures on
confrontation with the natural cataclysms and on the keeping up of the world
order in single have reduced to a huge deficit of the budget. A disastrous fall
of the National currency of the USA is not far off. It has appeared the
substantial threat of disintegration of the civilization of the USA. As
economics and policies of the USA are intimately connected to economics and
policies of the majority of the European countries and of a great number of the
states of the rest of world, the danger of originating of the disintegration is
imminent over them. First the States-satellites will feel it on them-selves. As
it was marked above, the potential of saturation energetics of the modern
civilization is those, that result of reaction of the surrounding world can be
disappearance of everything alive on the Earth. To avoid or to cushion operating
of the reacting it is possible, having elaborated the acceptable concept of
survival of a modern civilization. The concept should correspond to the Basic
Law of the surrounding World.
b) The concept of survival of the modern civilization.
The concept includes into itself processes of recovery of relative balance of
interrelations between the individuals, "pulling up" the level of economics of
the underdeveloped individuals. The variety of the World, surrounding us,
requires the differentiated approach to different groups of the individuals (to
the states with the weak economics). It can be three of such groups.
The 1st group is the states with the democratic regimes without ambitions.
The 2nd group is the states with ambitions for diverse ideology.
The 3rd group is the states with criminal and religious extremist regimes.
Some countries of the East Europe, of the Asian countries the former USSR and of
the Latin America are referred to the first group. These countries need a
straight economical support. The investments in a development of the industry
for magnification of the labor activity of the population also are necessary to
them.
The countries with the saved communist regimes and ones which were under the
influencing of the USSR and the China are referred to the second group. These
States need in every possible way to further for the economical integration in
the head with the economically influential State. It is some-thing like
alternative for the Socialist camp. This integration will be able to keep its
members in limits of the limitations which were worked out by the world
community. Thus, to render assistance for the creation in the world the
constructive oppositional systems.
Some states of Asia and Africa with the frankly extremist regimes appertain to
the third group. This group has appeared after the break-down of the Socialist
system. It has refilled the group of the states of the third world with a mass
poverty, a low level of education and a primitive economics. They are the states
with a cheap manpower and by the gun meat". It has appeared the free niche,
with which could not take advantage the highly developed states. They have not
wanted beforehand to invest facilities to defend themselves in the future. The
criminal members and the religious extremists with ambitions for world
domination made use of the got free niche. They became a source of financing and
opening-up of terrorist organizations. The stability of the regimes in these
states is maintained by the force and the scanty sops to the population. To this
group of the states it is expedient to apply the destabilizing action (for
example, an occupation). But, in order to prevent the environment's reacting, it
is necessary to use the process of the compensation (for example, economical
support to the population). It needs maximally to avoid other destabilizing
actions, which ones ac-company the occupation (the forcible operating, the
murder of the people).
The operating of the antiterrorist coalition headed by USA in Afghanistan are
the exponential illustration of liquidation of the extremist regime. During all
history of the Mankind there were not analogs of similar actions, because for
the first time, such large scaled military acts have not aroused an unbalance of
the environment, as they were tracked by powerful buy-back measures (the
humanitarian caravans have followed behind troops). But the occupation can not
last long. The occupation troops should temporarily be executing the duty of
policemen and promote a rapid recovery of the national authority.
The occupation of the Iraq is completely unjustified. The Iraq it would be
possible to refer to the second group of the states. It is not the extremist
State. This State was ruled by the totalitarian dictatorial regime, which one
has crushed any extremist manifestations. In the Iraq the internal stability was
maintained with the force. The intervention of the external forces (the
occupation) has reduced to destabilizing. The recovery of the balance in the
Iraq will demand huge expenditures, and it will be able to reduce the occupation
side to the economical decline. The abnormally selected policy can evoke the
intensification of reaction of the environment.
8. The State Israel and the locale of the Near East.
a) The Europe is the primary source of the Middle East crisis.
The Jewish population of the Europe was permanently pursued. All the wars on the
continent were tracked by pogroms. Driven to despair folk left some European
states and settled in countries of the Africa, the Asia and the America. The
countries, which the Jews abandoned, suffered in a consequence the sharp
economical droop or they were completely broken down by the nearby states. The
countries, in which the Jews arrived, started to prosper (if the process of
resettlements was not tracked with estrangement of grounds from the
natives).
The XX century became culmination for the Jewish folk of the Europe. The stream
of migration of the Jews to the Palestine has grown from the 30-th and up to the
end of the 40-th years. And it is not that diverse, as a development of the
destabilizing action onto the environment of the locale. The de-stabilizing
action has evoked the reacting of the environment: the militant raids of the
Palestinians have begun onto the settlements of the emigrants (the axiom 3). In
their turn, the Jewish colonists have begun to create the squads of
self-defense. The zone and power of the reacting of the Palestinians were reamed
accordingly (axiom 4). The creation of the State Israel in 1948 has augmented a
potential of a destabilizing action considerably. The reacting of the
environment was augmented also. Now, except of the Palestinians, all Arab states
of the Asia and the Africa came into a confrontation with the new State. In the
course of time, with a growth of the defensive potentialities of
the Israel, the reacting of the environment became more destructive (the wars
of the 40th, 50th, 60th, 70th years).
The military defensive operations of the Israel were tracked by occupation of
the grounds of the Palestine, of the Syria, the Egypt, and the Lebanon with the
deportation of the Arab population. Simultaneously, the arriving emigrants from
the Europe settled on the occupied territories. The most numerous migration of
the Jews was from the republics of the former USSR in the last decade of last
century.
To a start of the present century the level of economical progressing of the
Israel has reached the apogee. The difference between standards of living of the
Israelis and population of the adjacent Arab states was augmented. Thus, the
powerful summary vector of the destabilizing action was formed. From this moment
the most destructive reacting of the environment (the "Intifada Al-Axsa") began.
The Palestinians not having in a sufficient amount and quality of arms have
selected the tac-tics of regular terrorist attacks. The war has gained the
infinite flaccid nature for exhausting of the State Israel. It is undermining
its economics catastrophically.
Moreover, it began to be discovered obvious strategic preponderance in the
Palestinians' favor. Firstly, because of the occupation of the Palestinian
territories the Israel bears injury many times exceeding injury of the
Palestinians. In the fight the Palestinians lose nothing, they only acquire.
Secondly, driven to despair the Palestinian population has turned into the most
redoubtable and dangerous weapon - "clever alive bombs", against which ones have
no defense. This weapon can stagger any dot of the country. The phenomenon of
self-sacrifice in the name of redemption from the occupation has accepted mass
nature. It is once again confirms inevitability of the reacting of the
environment on the destabilizing action and unpredictability of ways of its
implementation. In order to prevent infiltration of the "clever alive bombs"
into own territory, the Israelis have decided to separate from the most
problematic regions of the Palestine.
Analogy with the case 2 (see the item 4 "Comparative analysis of the
consequences of the destabilizing actions explained in the case of 1 and 2")
here is displayed when the destabilizing action into the environment "was
perfected". Pursuant to the axiom 4, the force and the scale of the reacting of
the environment were augmented too: the powerful pressure of the European Union
and other countries of the world community has joined the struggle of the Arabs.
And USA began to exhibit the discontent.
The notice. The unique difficultly soluble context has turned out. Two
peoples with own completely
fair purposes have collided on small plot of the Palestinian
ground. One folk is
struggling for a survival, another one is struggling for
redemption of the occupied territories. I.e., from both sides the fair war is
conducted. It is nonsense, because the history of wars does not know analogs
with the similar military conflicting. Usually, such side is winning, which is
conducting a fair war. In the Israeli-Palestinian conflicting any of the sides
will not win the victory, the war will last up to full abolition of both
peoples. As all processes in our world are interdependent (the axiom 2), cones
quinces for future man-kind can be essential. It is possible to forecast
progressing of the scenarios of different consequences. One of them -
prolongation of war up to full abolition of both peoples. In this case on one
hand the evident and hidden anti-Semites (for the first - the old dream - the
final decision of the Jewish question will be carried out, for the second - such
a cheerful perspective: there is a nation, there is a problem, no nation
- no problem). On the other hand, all neighboring Arab countries representing
the elite of the Moslem world which were involved in the conflicting will be
wiped out. The world will remain one to one with the religious-extremist
regimes, which by then will wield all Moslem countries. The preliminary forecast
of the scenarios of a development of events will help to analyze operatings of
different political groupings (or of countries), whether they have constructive
or destructive nature.
b) About a new policy of mutual relationships of the State Israel with the
Palestinian folk.
Apparently early late, under affecting of reaction of the environment, the
destabilizing action depicted in item 8a, sooner or later will be overwhelmed
(pursuant to the axioms 3 and 4). And, if this process to let on gravity flow,
the consequences for the locale will be catastrophic. To avoid catastrophe it is
possible, having immediately begun a process of neutralization of the
destabilizing action onto the environment. It will allow to retain the State
Israel and to go out of the population crisis with the least losses.
For this, the Israeli side should change the policy of relations with the
Palestinians, having made very strong steps:
to state about the termination of persecution of all hostile Palestinian
groupings;
to apply to the principals of these groupings with a call about a termination
of act of war and to invite them to negotiations for settling all
contradictions, without exception;
to declare about withdrawal of the troops from the occupied Palestinian
territories;
to pronounce about the immediate release all Palestinian prisoners (except
criminal members), to complete the release after a positive outcome of the
talks. The example of an ideal list of indispensable operatings of the Israeli
side was cited above. Other measures are possible also, if only they do not go
into a conflict with the axioms of the Basic Law.
Following pitch should be compensation and neutralization of the below
enumerated destabilizing factors:
1) The essential variance of levels of civilization of the population of Israel
and the Palestinian Autonomy.
2) The occupation of the Palestinian territories.
3) The mass deportation of the Palestinians from the occupied territories.
4) The mass migration of the Jewish population to the State Israel from all the
world.
5) The high density of the population in the State Israel.
1) The essential variance of levels of civilization of the population of Israel
and the Palestinian Autonomy.
The biotic level of the Palestinians depends on political settlement which one
will promote increase of the working places. And the international community
should assist:
to creation of a favorable economical zone in the Palestinian state for
progressing of business and of industry;
to progressing of education and culture;
to support of the traditional religious teachings.
The support of the centuries-old traditional and religious cultures that
doubtlessly will reduce to weakening influence of the extremist trends.
2) The occupation of the Palestinian territories.
The territory under the Israeli sovereignty up to 1967 is favored by the world
community (by the environment). The territories occupied by the Israel after
1967 they should be unconditionally returned to the future Palestinian State.
Having reconciled a line of boundaries to promote for the creation of the
Palestinian State with inclusion into it the eastern part of Jerusalem.
Stumbling-block will be the Jewish settlements. The settlements, which have
arisen for the period of "Intifada", it is necessary to move into the State
Israel. The old Jewish settlements are impossible to evacuate. It will evoke the
destabilizing factor inside the State Israel (the deportation of the
population). The only ideal conciliatory proposal of the problem is a
continuation of residing of the colonists on conditions of lease the grounds or
under condition of acceptance of the Palestinian citizenship. The resettlement
of the masses of people and the lease of grounds will demand from the State
Israel of considerable expenditures. And if the state is not able to cover these
expenditures, the international community should take a part of expenditures on itself.
The notice. Contrary to the justified above-stated assertions, the government of
Israel has manufactured resettlement of the Israelis, living in the occupied
territory about 38 years, into the limits of the State from August 21 till
August 23, 2005 according to the plan of delimitation (destabilizing influence:
deportation and change for the worse of the living activity of the population).
In the society it was constructed the strained situation (the reaction of the
environment). In a case of the additional destabilizing affecting factors (an
armed outrage, connected with beating or killing of the people) the State will
not be able to avoid a social burst.
3) The mass deportation of the Palestinian population from the occupied
territories.
The deportation of hundreds thousand of the Palestinians and originating of the
refugee camps are the consequences of the Israeli occupation. And existence of
the refugee camps is the major source of all troubles. Not any of political
parties gave clear recommendations to solve the problems of refugees. Everybody
delicately tried to a void this problem supposing that it will disappear in and
of itself. They are nutritious soil for the extremists, they are inexhaustible
source of "generation" of the terrorists, "of live bombs". No government of the
Palestine is able to monitor the adding up situation. Without solution of the
problem of the refugees it is impossible to eradicate the terrorism. On the
other hand, if to return all this mass of the people on the territory of the
Israel, there will be created a powerful destabilizing factor, which one will
without doubt evoke the reaction of the environment (the axioms 3 and 4). It is
necessary the elaboration of acceptable operatings in arrangement of the Palestinian refugees with compensation of the
intellectual and physical injury, which was inflicted.
The exemplary list of the operatings is the following:
A part of the Palestinians must be brought back to the territory of the Israel
and settle them by colonies on the rights of rent of grounds or on the rights of
the citizens of the State Israel.
Other part of the Palestinians should settle by colonies on the rights of a
rent of the grounds or on the rights of the citizens in the friendly Arab
states.
The rest of the refugees it is necessary to rehouse into the future
Palestinian state.
To assist the wishing Palestinians for emigration into other countries of
world community.
Not to hinder resettlement of the Israelis into other countries of the world
(because of non-compatibility of cultures);
The resettlements should be tracked with a construction of dwelling, with a
creation of an infrastructure of the national education and culture,
workstations and a social welfare.
The world community through the UNO should finance the enumerated operatings.
This list can be unacceptable to the opposing sides. But it is ideal, from the
point of view of the Basic Law, and it is base for the
compromise.
4) The mass migration of the Jewish population to the State Israel out of all
the world ("Aliya").
The mass migration of the population as well as the forcible mass migration of
the animals, birds, fishes is the destabilizing affecting onto the environment
(pursuant to the Basic Law), even if it bears with itself temporary positive
effect for the interested individuals. The history is the witness of reacting of
the environment to the cases of the mass delivery of the rabbits into Australia
during development of it by the Europeans, of the mass extermination of sparrows
by the Chineses per the sixtieth years and of the delivery by the Americans into
their inland waters of the Far East fish "snake-heads". Unless urgently adopted
measures, all three cases could end with catastrophe for the surrounding fauna
and flora. We will recollect analogy - the mass extermination of the Jews, the
Gypsies, the parts of the Poles and other peoples by the fascists and what the
environment has made for the fascist Germany in a consequence.
I am not going to dwell on consequences of process of the mass migration of the
Jews, as the "aliya" under the affecting of reacting of the environment was
considerably reduced and this problem is already not topical. I will mark off
only one, on the background of the mass deportation the Palestinians the mass
immigration of the Jews from the republics of the former USSR was having the
powerful destabilizing factor. It was the essential addition into the summary
vector of the destabilizing action onto the environment. To the small country
were moved several hundreds thousand men. The fourth part out of them is not in
demand in the labor market of the State. They considerably have augmented army
of the unemployed and have spawned many other attendant negative problems, which
can introduce threat to biotic capability of the state (see item 6).
The notice. Therefore, the declarations of some Israeli politicians about a
continuation of rise of the "Aliya" are not only irresponsible, but also
harmful. Besides, the economical program of Sharon-Netanjahu's Government did
not take into account the destructive factor of growth of poverty, especially
among the immigrants ("olim hadashim"). By the way, the essential cocking in
sphere of economics have reduced to crisis of authority in November 2005, i.e.
to "democratic" convulsions (see item 6).
The analysis of situation demonstrates that the Zionism's idea about returning
of the Jews to "Eretz Israel" now any more does not bear creative nature any
more. It can only ease off or finally disorganize the Jewish State. And for the
Jews of the world it is necessary the support of the strong and authoritative
State Israel.
5) The high density of the population.
Excessively high density of the population also is the destabilizing factor. The
time has come to decide and this problem too. It is true, the deficit of water,
the high saturation with a transport, an infrastructure of objects of chemical
and energetic on one square kilometer, the high-gravity ecological situation is
the straight consequent the high-density of the population.
For the regularizing of the density of the population it is necessary:
To confine sharply an influx of emigrants into country. To cease "competition"
with the natives of the Arab population in an increase of their quantity. The
increase of the Arab population goes by a natural way. The realization of growth
of quantity of the Jewish population at the expense of the "aliya" is deeply
erratic and introduces the destabilizing affecting into the environment.
To promote and to encourage intelligently and economically to a regulation of
the birth rate. Not to pity the means for the education. The investigations
demonstrate the birth rate is lowering, the able-bodied age and the duration of
the life of people are augmenting in more educated society. The method of rent
of the grounds in amicable countries is not less perspective.
Is not admissible at all and is not favorable to the state an influx of
foreign workmen with presence of the huge army of the unemployed. The foreign
workmen send, almost, all their earnings abroad. And it has an unfavorable
effect for the internal consumer market. It is necessary to interest the
employers economically (contrary to the padding taxation), instead of foreign
workmen, to receive the unemployed, subsidizing a part of the salary, the
educational courses and observance of safety measures at the expense of a fund
of the Institute of the social insurance. The uncontrolled and unlimited rise of
an amount of the foreign workmen in the state can be a source of powerful
destabilizing processes under definite negative conditions in the future (the
November clutters 2005 were arranged by the unindigenous inhabitants of France
and other European states).
9. Supplement.
The most favorable development of events in the environment when all
processes, flowing in
it, are relatively balanced (the axiom 2). Apparently, that any environment has
a certain system of constrainings and back-weights, which help the relative
stability of the habitability and the work capacity of the environment up to its
natural wear, natural doom. The weakening or the liquidation of the system of
constrainings and back-weights will reduce to the premature doom of the
environment.
The totalitarian state: an absolute monarchy, a ''lifelong" leader of State,
one-party parliament or the parliament with a weak opposition (the system of
constraining and back-weights either is completely absent or is ineffective).
Such State will hardly avoid dramatic consequences.
The note. A classic example of the stable system of constraining and
back-weights is the State Israel of the sample 2001-2005. The Israeli Parliament
had the strong opposition. Maneuvering between the dissatisfied part of the
coalition and the opposition, thanks to it, the Prime Minister of the State
Israel had a possibility to conduct through the Parliament the important vital
solutions.
The chief of the State can in the course of time become the hostage of a
coalition, if the Parliament will consist of a powerful coalition and a dwarfish
opposition.
The global totalitarianism is the product of the joint efforts of mankind for
a disassembly of the powerful system of constraining and back-weights -
Socialist camp. The absence of a global system of constraining and back-weights
has enabled to the strongest State in the world - to the USA unrestrictedly to
dictate the clauses (conditions) to the world device. In this connection the
influencing of the UN onto exterior policies of the USA, was essential loosened.
If to estimate an extent of hazard of the global totalitarianism, it is
commensurable with the hazard of a collision with a huge asteroid inevitably
approaching to the Earth. The faster the USA will realize the negative role of
the superiority above the rest of world, the the consequences will be less
destructive.
A world and the processes proceeding in it are various. The policies of a
simplified approach and of thoughtless unification of events are extremely
dangerous destabilizing action. It is impossible to generalize the Beslan bloody
events (September 2004, the Northern Osetiya) with the liberation strife of the
Palestinians by one definition, as for example, the "Moslem terrorism" or the
"Islam fundamentalism".
The tie between a cause and a consequence of the events in Beslan is
the following:
- Disintegration of the USSR.
- The weakness of the regime of original period of the free Russia.
- The manifestation and the propagation oof pockets of extremist influence from
outside in the Russia
(Moslems).
The tie between a cause and a consequence of the Middle East
conflicting:
- The European anti-Semitism.
- The Zionism movement.
- The State Israel.
- The Palestinian people's movement of liiberation (Moslems).
Provided we will ignore the tie between cause and consequence and will search
the cause for the religious ethnic attributes, we will promote a magnification
of authority of the criminal extremist regimes in the Moslem world, we will
restore against ourselves all Moslem
world.
As it was marked in a start of the monograph, the modern mankind, practically,
is defenseless from operatings of natural disasters and terrorism. The analysis
of these phenomena, pursuant to the Basic Law, in opinion of the author, will
help mankind more effectively to neutralize them.
The inalienable property of a substance and shape of its existence is the
movement. The movement in the broad sense of the word is the multifarious
movements of the substance from the simple movement up to the most complicated
processes of thinking. The period of the habitability of the mankind is the
period of one of the shapes of existence of the substance. The task of the
mankind is to not do much harm to itself, and not to shorten the period of his
existence with the slapdash destabilizing actions.
September 2001 - September 2005.